🧠 How to Make Earnings Season MUCH More Profitable


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Welcome to Long-Term Mindset, the Wednesday newsletter that helps you invest better.

Today's Issue Read Time: <2 minutes

  • Lesson: Earnings Prep
  • Timeless Content: 2024's Amazing year for dividends
  • Thread: Backdoor Roth
  • Resource: Consumer Price Index aka inflation
  • And more!

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*APY as of 11/12/2024 is variable and subject to change.

Friends,

Last week, Netflix kicked off earnings season with a bang. The company added 20 million subscribers and saw ad revenue more than double. The stock was up double-digits the next day.

Electronic Arts was not nearly as lucky. While results were fine, the company reduced its guidance for the rest of the fiscal year to reflect anemic growth. The stock dropped double-digits the next day.

If you were invested in either one of these companies, what should your reaction have been? Sell Netflix to lock in gains while buying Electronic Arts at a steal? Doing the opposite?

The tough truth: There's no one-size-fits-all answer to that. Two people can invest in the same stock for wildly different reasons, with different time frames, and different expectations for outcomes.

But we do have a simple question you can ask yourself no matter a stock's reaction to earnings:

Do these earnings provide support for my thesis, or do they provide evidence against it?

Before you buy any stock, you need to write down your reasons for doing so. We call that an investment thesis. And if you do this, you're not only ahead of 75% of retail investors, but you're set to make earnings season much more profitable in terms of the decisions you make.

Perhaps a stock purchase has to do with a new technology coming to market. Or maybe it has to do with lots of cash sitting on the balance sheet that you think will become a dividend. Or maybe you just think a stock is undervalued.

No matter your reasoning, write down why you own every stock in your portfolio.

Earnings season is just getting started. If you take an hour this weekend to perform this task, you're be able to digest all the news coming your way with far greater clarity.

Over the long run, wise decisions based on this new information will compound, creating generational wealth in the process.

Wishing you investing luck this earnings season,

Brian Feroldi, Brian Stoffel, & Brian Withers

Long Term Mindset

P.S. Have you Seen any great investing content lately? Reply to this email with what you've found and we might include it in a future newsletter.

One simple graphic

One piece of timeless content

With all the hype around the Mag7, AI, and tech stocks last year, many investors missed that 2024 was an amazing year for S&P500 dividends.

One resource

Ever wonder how inflation is calculated? The "official" source of CPI (Consumer Price Index) is the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Here's a link to BLS's Home page on CPI where you can find out more. For those who just want the graph of the historical trend, click here.

One quote

Brian Feroldi

Brian Stoffel

Brian Withers

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Long-Term Mindset

I teach investors how to analyze businesses. Each Wednesday, I share six pieces of timeless content that can be read in less than 2 minutes. Read by 100,000+ investors from a16z, Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and more.

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